Sources of ideas

which informed my PhD thesis…

which led to a small scale experiment in the mid-1990s…documented 10 years later…

and my interest in this was revived by reading Scott Page on diversity…


  • Surowiecki, J. (2004). The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations. Little, Brown.
which also prompted some reading of the literature on scenario planning


and now even more recently…


  • and getting back to applications to evaluation …
    • Derbyshire, J. (2019). Use of scenario planning as a theory-driven evaluation tool. FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE, 1(1), e1.
    • List, Dennis. 2007. “Scenario Network Mapping.” Journal of Futures Studies 11 (4): 77–96.

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