References

Sources of ideas

which informed my PhD thesis…

which led to a small scale experiment in the mid-1990s…documented 10 years later…

and my interest in this was revived by reading Scott Page on diversity…

and

  • Surowiecki, J. (2004). The wisdom of crowds: why the many are smarter than the few and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies and nations. Little, Brown.
which also prompted some reading of the literature on scenario planning

 

and now even more recently…

Figure 1. Three dimensions of futures research methods.

usnr_a_1547852_f0001_b

“Most futures methods are evidence-based to some degree. …. But there are limits to evidence-based approaches to studying a future that does not exist”

  • and getting back to applications to evaluation …
    • Derbyshire, J. (2019). Use of scenario planning as a theory-driven evaluation tool. FUTURES & FORESIGHT SCIENCE, 1(1), e1. https://doi.org/10.1002/ffo2.1
    • List, Dennis. 2007. “Scenario Network Mapping.” Journal of Futures Studies 11 (4): 77–96.

Leave a comment or ask a question

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.